NFL Week Four Expectation Distribution
NFL Week Four Probability and Expectation Values
Week Four wasn't as good as we had hoped, though still moderately profitable.  It did lower our season bet unit average to 56%.  Our best bets stand at 9/13 (69%) with our overall ATS at 52/92 (57%) and our gross (pick winner only) at 46/61 (75%).

Be sure to compare this to our season totals.  Also check out our discussion of parlay betting, setting realistic expectations for sports betting, and past pick details.
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Week Four Expectation Value Probability Distribution
60%
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Week One
Week Two
Week Three
Week Six
Week Five
Week Four
Week Nine
Week Eight
Week Seven
Week Ten
Week 11
Week 12
Week 15
Week 14
Week 13
Week 17
Week 16