Happy's Free Picks J
Week Two Free NFL Picks
September 18th, 2009
Our early picks have been archived
| Home |
Away |
Casino Spread |
Our Spread |
Confidence |
Bet Units |
No Line |
Z (prob of Success) |
| Mia |
Ind |
Mia +3 |
Mia +4 |
0.03 |
0 J |
W |
52.9% |
| KC |
Oak |
KC -3 |
KC +1.3 |
0.05 |
1 J |
W |
62.9% |
| Jac |
Ari |
Jac -3 |
Jac -1.1 |
2.00 |
2 J |
W |
55.8% |
| Buf |
TB |
Buf -4.5 |
Buf -0.7 |
0.22 |
3 L |
W |
61.4% |
| GB |
Cin |
GB -9.5 |
GB -8.7 |
0.01 |
0 J |
L |
52.3% |
| Det |
Min |
Det +10 |
Det +13.3 |
2.00 |
3 J |
W |
59.9% |
| Dal |
NYG |
Dal -3.0 |
Dal -2.0 |
0.08 |
0 J |
L |
53.1% |
| Phi |
NO |
Phi 1.0 |
Phi +3.3 |
0.25 |
2 J |
W |
57.0% |
| Atl |
Car |
Atl -6.5 |
Alt -7.5 |
0.30 |
1 J |
W |
53.1% |
| Was |
StL |
Was -10 |
Was -7.2 |
0.00 |
0 J |
W |
58.5% |
| Ten |
Hou |
Ten -6.5 |
Ten -6.6 |
0.06 |
0 L |
L |
50.3% |
| NYJ |
NE |
NYJ +3.5 |
NYJ +5.2 |
0.01 |
0 L |
L |
55.1% |
| SD |
Bal |
SD -3.0 |
SD -2.3 |
0.07 |
0 L |
L |
52.3% |
| SF |
Sea |
SF -1.0 |
SF -1.7 |
0.20 |
0 J |
W |
52.2% |
| Chi |
Pit |
Chi +1.0 |
Chi +0.5 |
0.04 |
0 J |
W |
51.7% |
| Den |
Cle |
Den -3 |
Den -2.0 |
0.50 |
1 L |
W |
53.2% |
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We didn't start posting our over/under picks until week three. For more on how over/under reduces the standard deviation in your weekly win rate, check out Singing the Praises of the Over Under Bet.