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Week Two Free NFL Picks
September 18th, 2009
Our early picks have been archived
Home Away Casino Spread Our Spread Confidence Bet Units No Line Z (prob of Success)
Mia Ind Mia +3 Mia +4 0.03 0 J W 52.9%
KC Oak KC -3 KC +1.3 0.05 1 J W 62.9%
Jac Ari Jac -3 Jac -1.1 2.00 2 J W 55.8%
Buf TB Buf -4.5 Buf -0.7 0.22 3 L W 61.4%
GB Cin GB -9.5 GB -8.7 0.01 0 J L 52.3%
Det Min Det +10 Det +13.3 2.00 3 J W 59.9%
Dal NYG Dal -3.0 Dal -2.0 0.08 0 J L 53.1%
Phi NO Phi 1.0 Phi +3.3 0.25 2 J W 57.0%
Atl Car Atl -6.5 Alt -7.5 0.30 1 J W 53.1%
Was StL Was -10 Was -7.2 0.00 0 J W 58.5%
Ten Hou Ten -6.5 Ten -6.6 0.06 0 L L 50.3%
NYJ NE NYJ +3.5 NYJ +5.2 0.01 0 L L 55.1%
SD Bal SD -3.0 SD -2.3 0.07 0 L L 52.3%
SF Sea SF -1.0 SF -1.7 0.20 0 J W 52.2%
Chi Pit Chi +1.0 Chi +0.5 0.04 0 J W 51.7%
Den Cle Den -3 Den -2.0 0.50 1 L W 53.2%
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We didn't start posting our over/under picks until week three.  For more on how over/under reduces the standard deviation in your weekly win rate, check out Singing the Praises of the Over Under Bet.